Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.682208 0.781284 0.888873 1.014276 1.156318 1.312104 1.495807
2025-01-19 0.516886 0.647387 0.801233 0.995536 1.233930 1.516398 1.875993
2025-01-26 0.425607 0.578654 0.773112 1.037207 1.385305 1.827103 2.428869
2025-02-02 0.360296 0.528567 0.757658 1.090180 1.557955 2.189585 3.103616
2025-02-09 0.297447 0.468768 0.717610 1.101870 1.675961 2.496502 3.751360
2025-02-16 0.246428 0.415407 0.676169 1.102700 1.776362 2.790790 4.422397
2025-02-23 0.207137 0.371968 0.641148 1.105663 1.877984 3.098076 5.153053
2025-03-02 0.175619 0.334792 0.608963 1.106407 1.973975 3.406709 5.924550
2025-03-09 0.153314 0.309094 0.591094 1.127106 2.104106 3.784654 6.854987
2025-03-16 0.131109 0.279074 0.560105 1.118712 2.180803 4.079994 7.680049
2025-03-23 0.117051 0.262048 0.549970 1.146378 2.325140 4.509024 8.790000
2025-03-30 0.101031 0.237793 0.521567 1.133729 2.390429 4.800626 9.681885
2025-04-06 0.089967 0.222292 0.508779 1.151429 2.519604 5.231689 10.897544
2025-04-13 0.076800 0.199394 0.476528 1.123279 2.551602 5.478315 11.785443
2025-04-20 0.070639 0.191808 0.476593 1.165242 2.736797 6.053522 13.401142
2025-04-27 0.066024 0.187116 0.482465 1.221132 2.959879 6.732926 15.310866
2025-05-04 0.059262 0.175491 0.469922 1.232004 3.083167 7.214736 16.856531
2025-05-11 0.052790 0.163266 0.453779 1.231522 3.179808 7.649167 18.348083
2025-05-18 0.047292 0.152588 0.439711 1.233892 3.283318 8.110407 19.951070
2025-05-25 0.042395 0.142595 0.425701 1.234115 3.381373 8.569895 21.600906
2025-06-01 0.038931 0.136202 0.420408 1.256668 3.538871 9.186979 23.687967
2025-06-08 0.034745 0.126590 0.404346 1.247102 3.611475 9.607102 25.348127
2025-06-15 0.032299 0.122148 0.402570 1.277590 3.794994 10.321224 27.805463